Cheddar Bay Week Eleven: Cowboys -1.5 at Vikings

Let's set this week's All-Play as Dallas/Minnesota, Sunday 4:25 PM. Incidentally, the Browns/Bills line does not appear to have moved since Wednesday on S&O.

Here as usual are the pro lines, college lines, and standings. 

Comments

  1. Residue DogsNovember 17, 2022 at 4:17 PM

    I will take Packers -3.5 for a single

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  2. DK - Cleveland RebootNovember 18, 2022 at 3:42 PM

    Atlanta -3
    LA Chargers +6.5
    TCU -2.5
    Oklahoma State +7.5
    AP - Dallas -1.5

    Essay - LSU -14.5

    I'm not bold enough to bet on the Buffalo snow (Bills, Bisons), so I'm taking LSU to bounce back this week after a way too close win over Arkansas and with Texas A&M and a likely battle with Georgia in the SEC title game on the horizon. LSU is a respectable 6-4 ATS, while UAB has struggled against bigger programs.

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  3. jmacdaddioNovember 18, 2022 at 8:00 PM

    AP: Vikings +1.5

    Middle Tennessee +5.5
    Minnesota -2.5
    Stanford +4.5

    Rams +4.5
    Colts +6.5 (Essay)

    The Eagles got robbed on Monday night with a crap call. Oh well, not a fan. The Colts are a mess, although I’m not seeing what the controversy is over Jeff Saturday as interim coach (key word: interim); at this point they might as well give him a shot over a random person since he knows more about football. The main reason why I’m putting 3 cheddars on da Colts is because they are not as horrible at home. They’ve had some wins, and their home losses for the most part have been close. The Eagles should win this one, but a lot closer than a spread of nearly a touchdown.

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  4. thatsfineNovember 19, 2022 at 12:27 AM

    Virginia Tech +9.5
    Utah +3
    UCLA +1.5

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  5. Residue DogsNovember 19, 2022 at 6:46 AM

    Michigan state
    Michigan - essay

    I think both these teams win easily but I'm taking Michigan as the safer bet. Illinois has been thoroughly exposed as a fraud. After back to back losses and blowing their shot at the B1G west, this is the worst possible time for them to try and rally in Ann Arbor. They're coming into 25 degree weather to take the field at noon against a razor sharp Michigan team that absolutely smothers teams without dynamic offenses. Chase Brown might be out, in which case Illinois won't even have one dimension to the offense. Expect a score similar to the 34-3 asphyxiation Michigan did to Nebraska last week.

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  6. BenNovember 19, 2022 at 7:00 AM

    Ok State 7.5 over Oklahoma

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  7. Kitty PrydeNovember 19, 2022 at 8:00 AM

    The Week of the Home Dogs

    Maryland +27.5 vs. OSU - it’s a trap! OSU is looking ahead to Michigan next week. Maryland is hungry, scrappy, and ready to keep this close for as long as possible.
    Kansas +9.5 vs. Texas - Kansas: Kick a Longhorn while it’s down
    South Carolina +21.5 vs. Vols

    **essay** WVU +7.5 vs. K-State
    A sunny day in Morgantown, high of 42 degrees, with wind gusts up to 20 mph. Given the proxy to upcoming Turkey day, the Wildcats will really be feeling like they’re not in Kansas anymore. K-State may be looking ahead to Kansas next week. Garrett Greene was just announced as the starting QB for today. He looked great against Oklahoma, and even hopped into the stands to sing “take me home, country roads.” He’s mobile. That’s hard to prep for. His dad played in the MLB. Greens knows how to act like he’s been there before in big moments and Neal Brown needs to win out this season like his job depends on it. Because it does.

    AP: Vikings +1.5 vs. Cowboys

    Cardinals +8.5 vs 49ers - committed to the theme

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  8. Nick HarlowNovember 19, 2022 at 8:06 AM

    Kentucky +22.5 vs Georgia
    Arkansas +2.5 vs Ole Miss
    Browns +7.5 vs Bills
    Commanders -3.5 vs Texans
    Vikings +1.5 vs Cowboys AP
    Illinois +17.5 vs Michigan Essay
    You hate to see when a great player gets injured at the end of the game in a meaningless play, like Chase Brown did last week. I think that's as much on the player as the coaches as the other team, I think it's OK to let off the gas a little bit when the circumstances demand. No one needs to go 100% all the time, play the clock out and chill. The fact is Illinois couldn't handle the spotlight (and some poor officiating) and when teams starting playing up to them (and calls didn't go their way), they couldn't find another gear. Maybe next year they will be ready for that moment!

    I still think they are a solid all around team with a very good defense. For this cold weather game where everyone in the Midwest is reminded that it's winter time, I like taking points here. Devito is due for a plus game, and will keep this spread in play all game.

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  9. CapitalGGNovember 19, 2022 at 8:22 AM

    ---Week 11---
    AP Vikings +1.5 v. Cowboys
    1. Steelers +4.5 v. Bengals
    2. Texans +3.5 v. Commanders
    3. Minnesota -2.5 v. Iowa
    4. Ohio St. -27.5 @ Maryland
    E. Broncos -2.5 v. Raiders

    Punting the words this week. Good luck, everyone!

    ReplyDelete
  10. GschonbergNovember 19, 2022 at 9:41 AM

    College:
    Wash St
    Kentucky
    California
    UCLA

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. GschonbergNovember 20, 2022 at 9:48 AM

      NFL:
      AP: Vikings
      Essay: Eagles
      Eagles less than a TD favorite against Indy when the Eagles are coming off their first loss seems like an easy bet. Indy had a feel good win last week against the incompetent Raiders but the Saturday experiment won't help them this week. Indy doesn't have the offense to keep up with Philly...27-13 is my prediction.

      Delete
  11. JohnPeter33November 19, 2022 at 11:16 AM

    USC -1.5
    LSU -14.5 to UAB
    Utah State +1.5 to San Jose
    Chiefs -6.5 to Chargers
    all play: Vikings +1.5 to Cowboys
    essay: pick of the year (that's a thing right?)Bears +3 to Falcons

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  12. JohnPeter33November 19, 2022 at 11:19 AM

    essay: Bears +3 to Falcons

    two average defenses, two great running games. This game should take 2 hours.
    The Bears defense plays above their pay grade and gets to Mariota a few times.

    Fields cannot be stopped on the ground. It’s been apparent for the better part of the season now and even though teams know it’s coming, they can’t do anything about it. Fields has eclipsed 100 yards rushing in the last two games and there’s no reason to think he stops now.
    and he throws for 2 TDs

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  13. ChuckKozNovember 19, 2022 at 11:41 AM

    Cal -4.5 (vs Stanford)
    Texans +3.5 (vs Commies)
    Pats -3.5 (vs Jets)
    Broncos -2.5 (vs Raiders)
    AP: Vikings +1.5

    Essay: USC -1.5 (at UCLA)
    Before knowing the line, I intended on betting UCLA, assuming the line would be like 4.5 or greater. So I dug in to see what I am missing and I just don't see it. USC has more impressive wins this year and is playing better the past few weeks. I mean Arizona just walked into the Rose Bowl and beat UCLA when UCLA had a lot to play for. Now this will, at the very best, a 50/50 crowd so there is no real homefield. So just gotta lay the 1.5 points and assume USC wins the likely shootout. USC 45, UCLA 42

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. ChuckKozNovember 20, 2022 at 3:58 AM

      I have sucked this entire year, but I am gonna have to note that I basically hit the final score of my essay (actual: USC 48-45)

      Delete
  14. mattborcasNovember 19, 2022 at 11:42 AM

    Ole Miss -2.5 over Arkansas

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    Replies
    1. mattborcasNovember 20, 2022 at 9:20 AM

      Well, that pick was a dud. Here's hoping today goes better.

      Patriots -3.5 over Jets
      Rams +4.5 over Saints
      Cowboys -1.5 over Vikings
      Broncos -2.5 over Raiders

      Essay: Bengals -4.5 over Steelers

      The Bengals are coming off a bye and have won three of their last four, and their most recent loss—to the Browns on Halloween—came against a team that, for whatever reason, they seem supernaturally incapable of beating. They also need this game a lot more than the out-of-contention Steelers do. Cincy faces a pretty tough slate to close out the season—Titans, Chiefs, Browns, Bucs, Pats, Bills, Ravens—so it's absolutely crucial for them to get to 6-4 today. I think they will do so with relative ease, avenging their Week 1 loss to the Steelers.

      Delete
  15. Cleveland FrownsNovember 19, 2022 at 11:58 AM

    Kentucky +22.5 over UGA, Arkansas +2.5 over Miss, UCLA +1.5 over USC.

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    Replies
    1. Cleveland FrownsNovember 19, 2022 at 12:25 PM

      Raiders +2.5, Browns +7.5, Cowboys +1.5 ... will make the Cowboys the vote of the week. Just seems the Vikings are due for a loss, especially after last week. Looking at who they've beaten so far this season and just seeing a team that's probably a bit overrated at the moment. Dallas looking to bounce back after a tough loss in Green Bay and keep pace in the NFC East, thinking they get this one tomorrow.

      Delete
  16. oxrNovember 19, 2022 at 4:03 PM

    I'm With Borcas: Ole Miss -2.5 over Arkansas

    ReplyDelete
  17. BenNovember 20, 2022 at 7:43 AM

    Ok St (L)
    Colts 6.5 over Eagles
    Texans 3.5 over Wash
    Bills -7.5 over Browns
    Chargers 6.5 over Chefs
    Cowboys -1.5 over Minnesota (AP/essay)

    Minnesota has been an amazing story this year, frankly. Winning every one of their close games, and Cousins coming through in the clutch. That ends this week. Their defense will be exposed by a getting-healthy Cowboys O, and Kirk is due for a pumpkin game against the best defense he will have faced to date. For my part, I’m due for a freaking break.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. BenNovember 20, 2022 at 7:00 PM

      Had this initially drafted as my POTY. Should’ve pulled the trigger 😩

      Delete
  18. Residue DogsNovember 20, 2022 at 9:04 AM

    Lions
    Cowboys
    Cardinals

    ReplyDelete
  19. oxrNovember 20, 2022 at 9:19 AM

    Bears +3 over Falcons
    Giants -3 over Lions
    Eagles -6.5 over Colts
    Chiefs -6.5 over Chargers

    All-Play/Essay Cowboys -1.5 over Vikings -- because I'm too late to essay an early game, I will also throw my figurative chips down here. My argument for the Cowboys here is basically the same as my argument for them beating the Packers by a touchdown last week except that now (because of what happened last week) Dallas does not have the #1 defense by DVOA any more. Perhaps that anomalous result together with the Vikings surpassing expectations against Buffalo has made the line lower than it ought to be.

    ReplyDelete
  20. thatsfineNovember 20, 2022 at 1:01 PM

    Cowboys -1.5

    ReplyDelete

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